Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.529689 1.656239 1.790127 1.942636 2.111917 2.294473 2.506796
2025-12-28 1.339780 1.514115 1.708856 1.943696 2.220778 2.539220 2.935659
2026-01-04 1.224446 1.428013 1.664764 1.962871 2.331631 2.777345 3.363769
2026-01-11 1.141757 1.365594 1.634540 1.985418 2.436948 3.006623 3.793047
2026-01-18 1.074867 1.313187 1.607550 2.003479 2.530835 3.221942 4.218292
2026-01-25 1.013365 1.260786 1.573751 2.006042 2.599612 3.404423 4.611456
2026-02-01 0.943742 1.191973 1.512235 1.964593 2.601960 3.491803 4.873169
2026-02-08 0.888208 1.137370 1.464722 1.936751 2.618083 3.595970 5.164988
2026-02-15 0.844618 1.095611 1.431060 1.924363 2.653078 3.727382 5.507940
2026-02-22 0.822577 1.081437 1.433636 1.962387 2.762906 3.977508 6.062917
2026-03-01 0.786760 1.045876 1.403682 1.950206 2.794951 4.108430 6.433325
2026-03-08 0.750314 1.007372 1.367086 1.925169 2.804214 4.202147 6.747601
2026-03-15 0.703894 0.953056 1.305701 1.860194 2.747939 4.187664 6.875383
2026-03-22 0.680935 0.931532 1.291173 1.866091 2.805368 4.366549 7.374519
2026-03-29 0.663293 0.916773 1.285647 1.885214 2.885095 4.589350 7.982330
2026-04-05 0.647564 0.903952 1.282111 1.906810 2.969825 4.827435 8.649385
2026-04-12 0.631830 0.890269 1.276335 1.924003 3.047623 5.059096 9.333224
2026-04-19 0.613653 0.871974 1.262330 1.926444 3.099190 5.245964 9.947316
2026-04-26 0.587112 0.839687 1.224763 1.887055 3.072852 5.281900 10.236944
2026-05-03 0.565137 0.813597 1.195835 1.860591 3.067816 5.357932 10.625001
2026-05-10 0.547648 0.793832 1.176147 1.848814 3.088788 5.486665 11.151324
2026-05-17 0.541133 0.791082 1.183820 1.884960 3.201975 5.811779 12.193194
2026-05-24 0.525319 0.772849 1.165209 1.873381 3.222681 5.946712 12.786921